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Post by Mike Holloway on May 24, 2015 7:22:57 GMT
If I may ask, what makes you so confident that every host differentiates idol URLs?
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Post by Aras Baskauskas on May 24, 2015 9:39:02 GMT
If I may ask, what makes you so confident that every host differentiates idol URLs? Only because the first picture from the first merged TC was Natalie's idol which was a different URL. The URL of Laura and So's, however, were a perfect match. My idol was also uploaded with a different URL than all the others. Because of this, I'm certain So is merely bluffing her possession of an idol by using the picture that Laura/JFP posted. Judging by her immediate silence/lack of communication after I called her out I'm 99% positive my assumptions are correct. Congrats on the win this past week buddy
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Post by Aras Baskauskas on May 25, 2015 3:00:00 GMT
Hooray another tribal council with the boot controlled by yours truly Maybe next week we see a little idol drama?
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Post by The Tasha Fox on May 25, 2015 3:01:02 GMT
Yeah we need some drama.
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Post by Aras Baskauskas on May 25, 2015 23:20:35 GMT
We'll probably see the same vote next tribal council for So. Obviously this is dependent on her not winning immunity. All 4 of us will need to buckle down and make sure to pull this one out. Ideally it's Katie or I so I can play the idol on the one of us without immunity.
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Post by Aras Baskauskas on May 26, 2015 2:54:42 GMT
Fuck. Katie is getting targeted and I might have to deal with a possible idol play from So. Ugh. If So has an idol then I really can't do anything about Katie going home. Because idk if I'd oust Liz just to save Katie. I love the girl and she's been amazing. But Liz is part of everyone's F3 really
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Post by Aras Baskauskas on May 26, 2015 4:18:18 GMT
This sucks. To be quite honest going with the Katie vote and playing the idol for myself looks like the best option right now. I really don't know. I think I'd be a lot better off in a F4 without Katie rather than without Liz. Liz is a guaranteed goat at the end. I honestly think Abi would vote out So at F4 if we can beat her for the necklace.
Ugh I honestly don't know if I'm thinking straight right now. I didn't put enough time into thinking about this scenario.
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Post by Aras Baskauskas on May 26, 2015 4:22:19 GMT
And to be honest, I see 3 possible jury votes in Abi, Katie, and So. Who's guaranteed voting Katie in an FTC situation? Liz. Hell yeah I wanna keep her in the game
I'm truly going back and forth on this. I can play the idol on Katie and send Liz home. Final 4 of: Aras, So, Katie, and Abi. Among us Abi is a pretty strong goat. So has the physical and social game. Katie is kinda a triple threat in a sense. I'm a strategic threat (and a social one depending on who you ask)
Or I can vote out Katie. This maintains trust with Abi/So and potentially adds a jury vote for myself, this would not be a blindside. That final 4 would be: Aras, So, Abi, and Liz. Liz is getting through no matter what, but to be quite honest I might have trouble securing her vote at F4 if only because she doesn't fucking talk. So I'm definitely sacrificing a guaranteed ally if Katie goes. Then it kinda comes down to who wins immunity. If So wins it might come down to me and Abi in a fire making challenge if I can get Liz's vote to tie it. I'd LIKE to think Abi would wanna team up and vote out Liz and go to FTC with me but that'd be pretty stupid of her. I think I could beat Abi in a tiebreaker. But I really don't know. If anyone but So wins immunity she goes home pretty easily in my head.
FTC would probably be close either way. Katie probably has Jim, Liz, Laura, and Parvati locked up. So that's already 4 in that situation. Plus a bitter vote from Nat maybe and idk what'd happen with So/Joe/Woo. Not a very good option
Against So, she probably has Parvati and Natalie based on social game/bitterness. Joe and Laura could be angry still though I didn't do anything to Laura she didn't do to me but I digress. I'd have Katie's vote, Jim would respect my game. Abi is tough since we were both close with her. Personally I think she could see my strategic game being better than So's physical ability. Woo/Joe/Laura/Abi would probably decide it. It's possible Laura throws her vote to Liz too. so it might be best 2 out of 3 for Woo/Joe/Abi.
Against Abi/Liz: Abi's taking Nat's vote and then past that I really don't know if she has a locked vote. Laura could go to any 3. I'd probably get Katie and Jim. Past that it's so up in the air I think. It really depends on the tone of the jury. I think I very much avoided crossing the line of a Russell Hantz game where I screw everyone and was a total dick. I think I played the best game BY FAR of these two girls. Better strategy, challenges is a wash basically. Liz didn't talk to anyone but Jim/laura/Katie but I think Jim/katie would vote for me easy. Abi was friends with Nat, So, and kinda Parv but really did nothing.
I think strategically it makes little sense to keep Katie, but it looks like ol' Aras is gettin emotional about it
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Post by Aras Baskauskas on May 27, 2015 2:44:38 GMT
Well I was already upset that I had to make this decision and she's incredibly pissed. I'm not even pissed about losing the jury vote I just want her to get to a point where we. could still be friends. First time I've gotten emotional in an ORG and I don't like it
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Post by Aras Baskauskas on May 29, 2015 3:43:49 GMT
It comes down to this guys. Everything is eerily quiet around here and aim now. One of us really need to win this immunity and send home So. I wish I wasn't gone all afternoon for work because I would do this tomorrow after comparing their post counts to what they were a few days ago. Right now it looks like I'm the first person to start. I have no clue how long I'll go. I only really have time for like 5 hours worth idk how much of a disadvantage that puts me at.
I'm going on record now saying that I honestly believe I would win this game if I can secure a spot in the F3 without So. With So? Tough task but time will tell.
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Post by Aras Baskauskas on May 29, 2015 17:08:55 GMT
I'm gonna do the best I can right now but my posting will really taper off after 3pm and be completely done at 5ish. I kinda predict So will pass me and I'm the only person doing this (thanks Liz and Abi)
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Post by Aras Baskauskas on May 30, 2015 3:12:16 GMT
Fuck yes! Oh my god fuck yeah. Second immunity challenge win ever for yours truly and I honestly don't think it could feel any better. What an amazing end to an otherwise awful day. I seriously had a terribly day and this just made it better by 1500000%
I'm voting out So, she's a huge jury threat and I can't let her get to the end. This "honor" thing is the last straw she's trying to grasp on her way out. It's probably a bluff and she'll still vote for me but even if it's real I still think she'd vote for me.
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Post by Aras Baskauskas on May 30, 2015 8:55:48 GMT
I only thought of this because I've been reading my past confessionals in prep for FTC. Looking back, a LOT of my initial hunches and reads on people were correct. But it's also interesting to see my previous relationships with some people. I actually laughed reading the thing about Abi before and how I couldn't keep sane keeping her much longer. And look at me now, she's actually mellowed out and is great to talk to now. I talked with So a lot socially which really was awesome, if we weren't constantly "not in line" strategically I would've loved having her as a trusted ally.
Now that I think about it, the only real regret I have socially is not talking to Woo more. Liz, Laura, and Joe don't/barely responded to me but Woo always seemed like a great guy and I enjoyed the conversations I had with him.
It's just nice because looking back I've actually had a really great experience just interacting with these people.
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Post by Aras Baskauskas on May 30, 2015 21:53:30 GMT
On a related note, So has grown insufferable these past couple days throwing tantrums when I don't want to save her
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Post by Aras Baskauskas on May 31, 2015 3:00:22 GMT
Well here we are. I can't wait for FTC and to try and convince the jury I played a superior game. I'm thinking now about how I want to present it in my opening statement. I was thinking maybe to talk about the keys to my game, probably being access to information and my social game. When I say my social game I mean my ability to use it and gain allies/votes. I've controlled every TC I've ever been to (though the Katie boot really wasn't my idea). I've won two immunities.
After pointing that out I may or may not give basically a linear break down of my strategic moves which sent them all home
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